
Source: adapted from The Economist, February 10th 2001.
Global Energy Systems Transition, (% of market)
The usage of energy is in constant transition, particularly from
a long term perspective. An energy transition is thus a change from
one state to the other, namely in terms of supply, demand and quality.
A common pattern of energy transition involves moving to sources that
have a higher energy content. In time, this has implied a growth of
the quantity consumed, changes in energy sources and the usage of sources
that tend to have a lower environmental impact. Even if there is a gradual
transition away from petroleum, it still dominates global energy patterns.
Several utility factors favor the usage of petroleum as the main source
of energy in general, and for transport activities in particular:
- Occurrence is the location of energy sources considering
the demand. Several energy sources are only available when a transportation
system that can support transfers between the supply and the demand
exists. The exploitation of oil fields in several regions of the
World (Middle East, Siberia, etc.) was made possible when an efficient
transportation system based upon pipelines and tankers was established.
- Transferability. The distance over which an energy source
can be transported depends on its physical form (solid, liquid or
gas), its energy content, and on the available transport technology.
Most petroleum products are in a liquid, more or less viscous, form.
They thus offer an efficient form to be transferred. Furthermore,
economies of scale in transportation, notably maritime, enhance
transferability.
- Energy content. A low energy content is inadequate when
demand is high and concentrated in space. Gasoline and other petroleum
products have a high energy content compared to other fossil fuels
like coal, but even more when compared to gravity (hydroelectricity)
and solar energy.
- Reliability. Continuous availability is an advantage
over intermittent sources. The emergence of many sources and continuous
supply through maritime and land routes has given a relative reliability
for petroleum products. Some contemporary military interventions
were performed to insure the reliability of oil sources and their
transport.
- Storability. An energy source has an advantage when it
can be stored to answer variations in demands and interruptions
of supplies. In liquid form, petroleum products are easily stored.
- Flexibility is the capacity of an energy source to answer
multiple usages. In addition to providing energy, petroleum by-products
are the basis of whole industrial sectors (petrochemical) that synthesize
goods like plastics, fertilizers, pharmaceutical products and synthetic
rubber.
- Safety. Sources that can be provided and used at low
risks (human and environmental) are an advantage. Although the petrochemical
industry presents some risks (accidents during extraction, refining,
transport and usage), oil is considered a safe source of energy
for its production and usage.
- Cleanliness. Sources that produce few waste and are cleanly
used are an advantage. In regards of other conventional energy sources
like coal and wood and of the available technology, oil is cleaner
to use and produces a limited amount of waste.
- Price. Sources at low cost are generally preferred. Cost
is often a function of the occurrence, the transferability and the
energy content of the source. With massive investments on large
scale extraction, refining and transport of petroleum products,
a constant supply and intensive competition from several oil producing
countries (although with some monopolistic control - OPEC), petroleum
products prices are cheaper than many other sources.